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2024-12-13 22:43:51

BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.It is reported that the European Central Bank is considering cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the next two meetings. According to informed sources, as the inflation rate stabilizes at the target of 2% and economic growth is sluggish, ECB officials plan to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in January, and there may be another one in March. People familiar with the matter said that as long as the economic development meets current expectations, gradually reducing the borrowing cost is the most appropriate path. They believe that cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at a time in an emergency is still an option, but this move may convey an unexpected sense of urgency. According to people familiar with the matter, officials have not yet made any decision, and every meeting will be evaluated based on all available information, even after March. They stressed that once the situation becomes clearer after Trump takes office in January, the policy inclination of the central bank may change.Boeing: The expansion plant in Charleston County is expected to be put into operation in early 2027.


Expert comment: Grasp the core essence of "stabilizing the property market" and explain in detail the main starting points of real estate in the new stage. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Yan Yuejin, vice president of Shanghai Yiju Real Estate Research Institute, believes that "stabilizing the property market" should have a systematic and complete working path, including stabilizing housing consumption, stabilizing enterprise investment, promoting stock digestion, etc., and ultimately creating more power for the release of domestic demand. (Xinhua News Agency)Onshore RMB against the US dollar (CNY) closed at 7.2700 yuan at 03:00 Beijing time, down 85 points from Wednesday night's close. The turnover was $42.042 billion.Texas will generate about 150 GW of electricity annually by 2003.


Kering's Butterfly Family appointed Louise Trotter as the new creative director. On December 13th, kering and its brand Bottega Veneta announced that Louise Trotter would be the new creative director of the brand. Trott is the current creative director of Carven, and she will officially join the Butterfly Family at the end of January 2025.Xueda Education: The manager of Ziguang Group intends to transfer 5% of the company's shares by agreement. Xueda Education announced that the manager of Ziguang Group and Nanjing Xingnaheyuan Venture Capital Partnership signed the Share Transfer Agreement on December 12, 2024, stipulating that 6.162 million unrestricted shares (accounting for 5.00% of the total share capital of listed companies) held by Ziguang Group Co., Ltd. through the special account for property disposal of bankrupt enterprises will be transferred to.U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."

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